Some high profile Cambridgeshire Conservatives are at risk of losing their seats in the General Election, the latest YouGov MRP Projection shows.
Released on June 19, the projection indicates that there are now no 'safe' Tory seats across the eight Cambridgeshire constituencies, meaning Lucy Frazer, Shailesh Vara, and Steve Barclay are all at risk of losing their seats.
The MRP projection is not a prediction for the upcoming Election, but instead, it uses polling data to examine how seats may change on July 4.
For more information about how YouGov uses the MRP model, click here. The latest projection is from June 11 - June 18.
Keep reading for some of the shock projections across Cambridgeshire.
Huntingdon lean towards Labour
In what could be one of the biggest changes in General Election, the Huntingdon is projected to be won by Labour.
The constituency has always been considered a 'safe' Conservative seat - it was the seat of former Prime Minister, John Major, and has been held by Conservative Jonathan Djanogly since 2001.
The last non-Conservative MP to hold the seat was Samuel Whitbread, a member of The Liberal Party, in 1906.
The YouGov projection has Labour at 36.5 per cent, Conservatives at 32.2 per cent, Reform at 18.3 per cent, the Lib Dems at 7.3 per cent, the Greens at 4.7 per cent, and Independent at 0.9 per cent.
Lib Dems take the lead in St Neots and Mid Cambridgeshire
In the last YouGov projection, the new St Neots and Mid Cambridgeshire constituency leaned towards the Conservatives.
In the latest, the Lib Dems are now ahead at 32.5 per cent. The Conservatives are behind them at 29.7 per cent, Labour at 16.7 per cent, Reform at 14.2 per cent, Green at 4.5 per cent and Independent at 2.3 per cent.
Conservatives may lose Ely and East Cambridgeshire
Lucy Frazer, Secretary of State for Culture, Media and Sport, has been the Conservative South East Cambridgeshire MP since 2015.
Her former constituency has now been merged into the new Ely and East Cambridgeshire constituency, and she is running as the Conservative candidate here. However, the latest projection shows she's at danger of losing to the Lib Dems.
The projection has a Liberal Democrat gain from the Conservatives, although it's labelled as a tossup, as it's a very fine margin. The Lib Dems are at 31 per cent, while the Conservatives are at 30.2 per cent.
Labour follow at 18.2 per cent, Reform at 16.8 per cent, and the Greens at 3 per cent.
No 'safe' seats in Cambridgeshire - but North East Cambs could stay blue
The remaining constituencies remain largely unchanged from the previous projection.
As per the YouGov projection, North East Cambridgeshire looks to be leaning towards the Conservatives, but it's not marked as a 'safe' seat for them.
This seat has been held by Conservative Steve Barclay since 2010. He's the Secretary of State for Environment, Food and Rural Affairs.
The projection has the Conservatives at 35.4 per cent, Labour at 26.7 per cent, Reform at 24.1 per cent, the Lib Dems at 8.5 per cent, the Greens at 4.3 per cent, and the Independent at 0.9 per cent.
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